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  • The Great Lockdown

    There is only one topic at the moment, its effects are so wide-reaching that discussion about almost anything else will have some relation to the virus SARS-COV-2 which causes Covid-19. That’s why this week’s issue is not exclusively about Digital Transformation. Let me just start by saying, that the seriousness of this pandemic is not to be taken lightly. I’m not a scientist, nor an epidemiologist, so I have no comment on what is right or wrong

    I had much trouble writing this article because the situation was changing almost immediately. After doing some research and obtaining figures, they were out of date almost immediately, which explains why I am light on detailed statistics. I thought the best path would be to look at this at a distance.

    On to the issue.


    The Future is Digital Newsletter is intended for anyone interested in Digital Technologies and how it affects their business. I strongly encourage you to forward it to people you feel may be interested. If this email was forwarded to you, I’d love to see you on board. You can sign up here:

    Sign up now

    Visit the website to read all the archives.

    Thanks for being a supporter, have a great day.

    → 18 March 2020, 19:48
  • The Great Lockdown

    Winners and losers, the mother of invention and virtual social distancing

    There is only one topic at the moment, its effects are so wide-reaching that discussion about almost anything else will have some relation to the virus SARS-COV-2 which causes Covid-19. That’s why this week’s issue is not exclusively about Digital Transformation. Let me just start by saying, that the seriousness of this pandemic is not to be taken lightly. I’m not a scientist, nor an epidemiologist, so I have no comment on what is right or wrong

    I had much trouble writing this article because the situation was changing almost immediately. After doing some research and obtaining figures, they were out of date almost immediately, which explains why I am light on detailed statistics. I thought the best path would be to look at this at a distance.

    On to the issue.

    PS. I’ll be recording the narrated version shortly. Hope to have it edited and published later today.


    The Lockdown

    Many governments around the world are currently implementing bans on large-scale gatherings or restricting the amounts of attendees severely. In France, and by extension throughout the French West Indies, severe restrictions have been placed on movement. Citizens are required to stay at home for a minimum of 14 days from yesterday’s announcement. We have to carry signed declarations for the reasons of movement at all times, with each trip requiring a new form. All sports events and competitions have been postponed/cancelled until further notice. A local international tennis competition has stopped all matches as of Friday 13th, a scenario we see replicated throughout the Caribbean.

    In the wider Caribbean, we have seen the first cases of Covid-19, with Antigua, the Cayman Islands and Trinidad being the latest to reception the infections. The Caribbean Public Health Agency (CARPHA) is going to be very busy over the coming months, and there are the roots of a concerted effort around the Caribbean to tackle this menace. Earlier Cricket West Indies suspended all cricket in the region for a minimum of 30 days 😢.

    Sad reading also is this schedule of upcoming tech conferences around the world. Take a look at the forthcoming conferences being cancelled or postponed on the Techmeme events calendar as of this morning the 18/3/2020:

    Screenshot 2020-03-18 at 08.43.53.png

    Interesting that many are switching on Virtual Conferences, possibly opening up participation to members of their respective communities that couldn’t otherwise attend. We’ve been saying this for years that virtual conferences would be the way to go in the future. Still, there is too much money to made from organising and hosting paying meat-bag attended conventions in a beautiful hotel resort. Last year, I attended the Virtual Island Summit and was impressed by the range of subjects and professional organisation. Incidentally, you should take a look at this year’s summit page to view last year’s content and stay in touch for this year’s agenda.

    Finally, more lockdowns are coming, and they are progressively being implemented region by region. It is only a matter of time before you are directly affected.

    Out of necessity…

    Or, putting it better, necessity is the mother of invention.

    There have been a few times in modern human history where this proverb is as pertinent as it is currently. Just looking at the previous section, it doesn’t take a genius to understand that further and more-restrictive lockdowns are coming. However, despite all of this, we here in the Caribbean have an enormous opportunity to deal with this pandemic better than virtually any other country in the world, with only the Chinese being the exception —but I’m not sure I want to live in a totalitarian state on balance. It is going to take a gargantuan effort from all nations, with differences being put aside for the benefit of everyone.

    As island nations, there are already travel restrictions in place since before the modern era. You can’t get in and out easily or cheaply from major continents, much to our consternation when we do want to leave. Inter-island travel is a little easier, although not necessarily cheaper.

    Although these are structural issues that contribute to our collective response, the real opportunity for us is the fact that we are several weeks behind the curve. If we look at infections over time from the start of this crisis, we see that the Caribbean being behind the times is an advantage. I’ve sketched it out below with very rough approximations.

    IMG_DCDBEDB1BAFB-1.jpeg

    Image: Matthew Cowen/The Future is Digital Newsletter

    That extra time may help us develop effective measures, but only if we’re collectively willing to learn from others’ experiences. And, if we can do that for this crisis, we should strive to make it a habit in anything we do in the future as a region!

    There are examples of this in the business world too. If you properly analyse Apple Inc., you’ll note that they are seldom the first to come out with any particular technology. What Apple does is observe the new tech and then improve upon it to the point that it solves many of the issues it had while out in “beta” test by other companies; touch screens, Bluetooth headphones, wireless speakers —I have a theory about this one btw, but that can wait for another day). Apple could not accurately be called an inventor.

    Surprisingly, other services are becoming more innovative as a result of this situation. Therapy is about to go online in a big way, I believe. Traditionally the couch-laden office is the right environment for effective treatment. Being in neutral territory is a phycological trick that helps kick-start the brain into accepting treatment. But what are we to do in the event of a restriction in movement?

    I estimate that the quantity of anxiety cases is about to rise substantially with fear of Covid-19 becoming stronger as further cases reported locally. Therapists, with minimal effort and investment, could open up their practices to online and virtual consultations through services like Skype, WhatsApp and Zoom for one-to-one video and online payment processing systems like Stripe and SumUp for billing. It’s no replacement of course, but it’s probably the best we can do in the circumstances.

    Those who will lose out

    It is not all opportunity, however, as I hinted at in the last issue, Defining Productivity and Collaboration:

    But as always in these situations, there are winners and losers. Airlines, for example, are bracing for huge losses over the coming weeks and months.

    As always, the digital world makes it both better and worse, all at the same time. Unscrupulous opportunists are lifting their heads from the rocks under which they crawled, to dupe already vulnerable people into giving up personal details. I mentioned the forms the French government have issued, they look like this:

    Screenshot 2020-03-18 at 09.42.47.png

    If you can’t print — you’ve run out of ink, or you have no printer — you can fill one out on the fly with the authorities who will at some point stop and interrogate you. But that hasn’t stopped fraudulent attempts at phishing. This morning on a WhatsApp group I’m a member of for the Parents Association of my child’s school, one “helpful” parent sent a link to an online form that is supposed to help you fill out the form and present it in the case you can’t print. A quick look at the URL, .sh from Saint Helene a British Overseas territory and not from gouv.fr, it was apparent to me that it was fake. But not everyone understands or has the same critical thinking. Stay braced for many more scams and the consequences of those over the coming weeks and months. There’s a lot of scum out there on the Internet.

    If I have one piece of advice for this period, it is, assume every email you receive is a fake until you can prove otherwise. Similarly, for social media posts that are forwarded from friends and on groups of which you are a member. Do not immediately circulate them (see above). 

    Traditional businesses are going to have to face important questions about how they are going to cope with wide-scale bans on the movement of people. In the very first instance, that will directly impact on the number of workers that can come to work. Staff reductions are going to put pressure on not only productivity but also physiological stress on those that can work. A global slow-down will only limit that so much. The service industry, and particularly those like myself in consulting, are likely to be least affected as much of our work can be done remotely. Site visits can be kept to a strict minimum and optimised for maximum efficiency where necessary. Services such as hospitality, however, are going to feel the pain.

    It’s refreshing and heart-warming to see so many IT businesses offering free services to help small businesses get up and running with Microsoft Teams or other platforms. But as I’ve said since I started this newsletter, digital tools are not the problem in Digital Transformation, culture is. Dropping Teams or Slack into a 30-year old business that has never had to think about how it can work remotely is going to nothing but make life difficult initially. Of course, you’ll tell me that it’s already tricky what have they got to lose, and you’d be right. 

    This is possibly the most significant opportunity for all businesses to rethink about digitising not just their communications and meetings to stay safe and stay lawful in the event of curfews but to automate and optimise business processes that are both manual and repetitive. Teams and Slack are not going to do that all by themselves. Serious reflection over the coming weeks about how your business is structured and how it needs to change in this new world order. Taking an individual look at all the separate parts of your value chain as a starting point, assessing where you stand digitally is an excellent exercise to perform at this juncture.

    Let’s be honest. You’re not going to be doing much business at the moment unless you are one of the vital parts of life-sustaining activities in your island or country. Taking this time to evaluate and plan for the future is a bitter-tasting gift that you should embrace.

    Virtual social-distancing is easier than real social-distancing

    Watching the movement around my local town here in Martinique, it would appear that many people have not entirely integrated just how serious this can be for others around them. Despite us seeing many instances of goodwill, charity and general humanity, both online and off, in places that are severely affected. For example, in Spain people have been playing apartment block bingo, group aerobic classes from their balconies and generally messing around on Tik Tok for fun. The #coronavirus hashtag currently has 12 billion views on Tok Tok alone! However, there are still too many instances of people who show complete disregard for others.

    The situation in shops around the globe is saddening. Shocking to me, was the reaction of politicians and supporters when results were announced for the first round of local elections here in the FWI. Supporters and politicians were filmed shaking hands, hugging and kissing (as is the custom in regular times) and in some cases, this happened between reasonably large groups. One friend put it this way, ‘something to increase the rate of growth of the virus. 🤦‍♂️’

    Stay safe, stay at home, seriously, Stay At Home and respect your local government’s advice.

    We’ll talk soon.


    The Future is Digital Newsletter is intended for anyone interested in Digital Technologies and how it affects their business. I strongly encourage you to forward it to people you feel may be interested. If this email was forwarded to you, I’d love to see you on board. You can sign up here:

    Sign up now

    Visit the website to read all previous articles.

    Thanks for being a supporter, have a great day.

    → 18 March 2020, 14:06
  • Defining Productivity and Collaboration

    Good morning. I was trying to get up and running with the narrated version of this newsletter, and it took a little more time than expected which is why there was no issue last week. It is now available through Apple’s Podcast Library so you can subscribe directly through your podcast player of choice. That’s the good news.

    The bad news (for me) was that I’d started this article quite some time ago, but recent events, namely the impact of COVID-19, have forced me to rewrite significant portions of it. So much for pre-planning!


    The Future is Digital Newsletter is intended for anyone interested in Digital Technologies and how it affects their business. I strongly encourage you to forward it to people you feel may be interested. If this email was forwarded to you, I’d love to see you on board. You can sign up here:

    Sign up now

    Visit the website to read all my articles and continue the discussion in the Slack group.

    Thanks for being a supporter, have a great day.

    → 10 March 2020, 05:09
  • Defining Productivity and Collaboration

    The opportunity that COVID-19 provides

    Good morning. I was trying to get up and running with the narrated version of this newsletter, and it took a little more time than expected which is why there was no issue last week. It is now available through Apple’s Podcast Library so you can subscribe directly through your podcast player of choice. That’s the good news.

    The bad news (for me) was that I’d started this article quite some time ago, but recent events, namely the impact of COVID-19, have forced me to rewrite significant portions of it. So much for pre-planning!

    On to the issue.


    Productivity and Collaboration

    Picking up from where I left off in Collaborative platforms the new hotness, you’ll have noted that I didn’t go into too much detail about collaboration and productivity. I wanted to, but frankly, the article was already too long at publication. I prefer reading long-form, but I appreciate that not everyone is like me and hence I try to cut these articles into bite-sized pieces when it’s appropriate.

    For this issue, I thought I’d go into detail about the link between productive and collaborative platforms and what may lie in the future. If you’re looking for a how-to article, this is not that. I suggest you search through your chosen search engine to get copious articles about implementation design and planning.

    This article is not a scientific report either. It simply attempts to show how collaborative platforms have helped in business productivity, sometimes in a surprising way. Firstly, let’s try to answer the question of whether collaboration has an influence on productivity, or if productivity requires collaboration.

    What is Productivity?

    The first at-scale uses of the term was in the production of the Ford Model T by Henry Ford. Ford understood when he observed the build processes involved in making cars and other things. He observed them in their entirety and not in isolation, eventually concluding that efficiencies could be gained by splitting them into component parts and focusing on simplifying and accelerating each step as much as possible.

    That simplification was in some cases extreme; famously Ford would let you buy a car in any colour as long as it was black. A funny anecdote, of course, however, restricting the colour choice meant the process was standardised and simplified gaining significant efficiencies in the manufacturing process.

    The assembly line was born with each worker stationed at a particular point along the line, each contributing to the evolution of the build of the item. In the example of a car, the start of the line concentrated on processes dedicated to the basics of the car, the chassis, the wheels and the supports necessary for the bodywork, interior and engine. Progress down the line steadily adds parts and the car slowly takes its final shape, as do the type and skill of the jobs on the line.

    Each task was timed, and tools that required for each type of task were analysed, so that minimum time is lost when grabbing the drill or spanner required. This timing enabled Ford to build a detailed picture of how long it took to build a car from start to finish. It also helped Ford speed up tasks in places where inefficiencies were identified. Modern car factories are not that far removed from this original vision by Ford.

    Productivity, in this sense, is the ability to breakdown, analyse and render efficient processes that make up the finished product or service. Productivity can be increased by lowering the time taken or decreased by increasing the time spent. But this is a one-dimensional definition of productivity.

    The OECD defines productivity as:

    Productivity is commonly defined as a ratio between the output volume and the volume of inputs. In other words, it measures how efficiently production inputs, such as labour and capital, are being used in an economy to produce a given level of output.

    What is often under-appreciated, is that for productivity to work efficiently all constituent parts need to work together well so that each transition from process to process work smoothly together. Collaboration begets productivity. If there is no collaboration, productivity takes a huge hit.

    Defining Collaboration

    According to various sources, the Cambridge English Dictionary, Wikipedia amongst them, collaboration can be defined as:

    The process of two or more people or organisations working together to achieve a common goal or task.

    When people in a team of people inter-organisational or extra-organisational work together to achieve the desired outcome, we call this collaboration. The definition is intentionally loose because collaboration can take on many forms. A trading contract across two nations may be considered collaboration; they collaborate to enable trade to and from each other. 

    Possibly the most common form of collaboration in existence is Project Management. Henry Gantt first introduced to the world of project management with his bar chart structured to visualise who does what and when on a large-scale endeavour. Initially, it was limited to use in construction, where hundreds of people were tasked with building offices, warehouses, homes and other buildings. Gantt developed a simple way of representing each task aligned by date/time with its length determining the duration required for completion. The structure is self-constructed because Gantt’s model requires links between tasks that show if tasks could be started or not, or if a particular task requires another to be completed before commencement; you can’t fit the windows in the house until the wall is built. These links are called constraints and often expressed as F➔S, or Finish ➔ Start.

    Modern collaboration is a little different but broader in scope. As described in the definition above, working together is the basis by which people today collaborate, but what has changed is the amount and channels of communication used to achieve desired goals together.

    In businesses today, people use email, Instant Messaging, WhatsApp, SMS, as well as specific applications like ERPs to achieve the tasks required of the organisation, and they switch between each of these frequently and freely. The inherent problem with this is that you may start a conversation in email because of something you saw in the CRM, then finish the conversation in WhatsApp, having passed through two or three maybe more applications in the process. This can be confusing to some, and potential loss of information is inevitable. But worse still, a loss of context may cause bad decision-making or cross-pollination of information to those whom the information should not be exposed.

    Modern collaboration tries to solve these issues by grouping as many channels of communication together as possible, thereby furnishing a one-stop interface to achieve optimum collaboration.

    The current landscape of collaboration tools

    There are essentially two players in the market that have offers adapted to efficient business collaboration; Microsoft Teams and Slack. Although similar in their basic functionality, they differ somewhat in execution and the way they integrate to productivity ecosystems.

    A third player seems to be positioning itself in the market. From The Information:

    Google is working on a mobile application for businesses that brings together the functions of several standalone apps the company already offers, including Gmail and its online storage service Drive. The move could help it compete more effectively with application suites from Microsoft and others, according to two people who have used the application and three people briefed about it.

    Google is lagging behind Microsoft on its productive suite, and as this recent development shows, its communications and collaboration strategy too. A handful of utilities were required in the Google ecosystem to perform what are ostensibly tasks with a common link. When you email a Contact or send an instant message to the same person because you are discussing the same project, that link is broken in the Google ecosystem, and it is this the Google is trying to resolve.

    Microsoft, Slack and Google are all trying to provide a one-stop-shop for your productivity needs, but integrating (obviously) their own ecosystem directly into the application and in some cases providing the necessary tools to link external SaaS applications. Microsoft literally stated as such a few years back at one of its conferences I attended; Teams was to become the first thing you open when you got to work, and the last when you left.

    COVID-19 and the opportunity to do more with collaboration tools

    If anything, existing collaborative tools are held back by two competing forces; their usefulness in a society that likes to meet and work together physically and the willingness and expertise of tech companies to develop better and more seamless collaborative tools.

    For the latter, I think there is no doubt that with the right incentives, tech companies could develop better tools to provide even better experiences. Whether it be integration in existing tools or the simplification in the initiation of collaborative sessions like voice and video. There are, no doubt, lots of other technological innovations in labs and around the corner that will appear on the timeline of these increasingly incontournable apps. Tech companies have only just started developing tools that push collaboration further.

    One of the most significant needs across the globe currently, is the response required to prevent the spreading of what is clearly a highly communicable virus. Despite low mortality rates and being concentrated on the old and sick, the fact that it is spreading fast around the globe and that most people will have little or no symptoms at all — many will never know they were a carrier of the virus at all — has forced businesses to halt all non-essential travel. If you’re interested, the MIT Technology Review has a list of some of the best and worst data dashboards to feed your COVID-19 paranoia.

    But as the risk is to the old and infirm, it is wise policy to isolate as much as possible to prevent the unnecessary spreading of the virus. To that end, many businesses around the globe have implemented travel bans for employees, and several high-profile conferences have been cancelled, F8, Google I/O and Mobile World Congress, to name a few.

    This then is the opportunity for collaborative tools to come into their own. Microsoft reports a 500% increase in use of its Teams platform and others such as Slack and Zoom are also reporting increases in use. Microsoft has additionally developed a Crisis Communications App free of charge, to help businesses coordinate their response to this virus and other crises.

    Teams and Slack are still quite rudimentary, but massive development initiatives have kicked off at Microsoft and others to enhance their functionality. We, as users and businesses, will significantly benefit from this — if we don’t all die, of course. But as always in these situations, there are winners and losers. Airlines, for example, are bracing for huge losses over the coming weeks and months.

    It is not clear if, after the COVID-19 pandemic is over, if collaborative software will have had enough time to change the habits of business and their employees permanently. But what is sure is that collaborative software will not be the same again.


    The Future is Digital Newsletter is intended for anyone interested in Digital Technologies and how it affects their business. I strongly encourage you to forward it to people you feel may be interested. If this email was forwarded to you, I’d love to see you on board. You can sign up here:

    Sign up now

    Visit the website to read all my articles and continue the discussion in the Slack group.

    Thanks for being a supporter, have a great day.

    → 10 March 2020, 05:09
  • Introducing The Future is Digital Narrated

    One of the most requested things, when I started this newsletter, was an audio version, for those that don’t enjoy reading long articles like those I write, or those who simply prefer to listen along during their commute. I’m pleased to announce that this is exactly what I’m doing.

    This is the narrated version of the text-based newsletter. Press play at the top of this email or subscribe through your podcast app of choice.


    The Future is Digital Newsletter is intended for anyone interested in digital technologies and how they affect business. I hope you can forward it to people you feel are interested in the subject. If this email was forwarded to you, please don’t forget to subscribe for yourself. You can sign up here:

    Sign up now

    Visit the archives to read all previous articles.

    Thanks for being a supporter, have a great day.

    → 25 February 2020, 17:36
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